Especially considering the developments of last week I thought it was a good time to take a look at the outlook for the 2024 Senate races.
I have to begin this piece with a word of credit and thanks to Steve Brodner who, in his opinion piece of January 2, 2024 in the Washington Post entitled, These politicians denied democracy on Jan. 6. Now they want your vote., did much of my research work. As of this writing there are 147 Republicans who voted not to certify the electoral college results of the 2020 election despite overwhelming evidence to the back up said results and even after they were attacked by domestic terrorists earlier in the day on January 6, 2021. Several have been implicated in complicity in the planning and/or execution of the illegal events of that day. By virtue of this vote, all 147 of them are in my opinion and that of many, many others, at minimum, accessories after the fact.
“That’s a four point play. The two they got and the two we didn’t get.” That was my old high school basketball coach back in the 1960s yelling at us for committing a turnover in practice. He was slightly incorrect in that it was statistically unlikely (and he was a math teacher) that we or our opponents would have scored on either possession but his point was still well taken. I remembered it during my coaching days and it is also applicable to the Electoral College. Today I want to incompletely explore that last part.
Republican Representative George Santos of New York was expelled from the House of Representatives on Friday of last week. The vote was 311-114-2-8. This was the third attempt at expulsion, (keep in mind that Santos didn’t take his seat until January of this year). I’d like to list the 112 Republicans who voted to keep Santos in office. 8 (split 5-3 Republicans to Democrats) did not vote; I’ll comment one on. Then I’d like to explore the motivation for some of the votes. (Even a political junkie like me isn’t comfortable ascribing motivations to many of the back benchers.) Totally perplexing to me are the two Democrats who voted “Present”.
On Thursday West Virginia Democratic Senator Joe Manchin announced that he would not seek reelection in 2024. To me this is a, good news, slightly bad news and possibly really bad (in a complicating way) news situation. Read on and I’ll explain.