I’m still stuck on last week. The biggest political thing that should have happened – the enactment of another economic rescue package didn’t – that doesn’t mean there was any shortage of occurrences. In fact one of the biggest hardly got covered – the Trump campaign going dark on the airwaves for at least a period of time. With the aid of a few observations and history let’s explore.
Last week word leaked that the Trump campaign was not going to be on TV or radio for the month of August. By this writing (Sunday morning) the word is they may be back by the time you read this article but the message will be different.
Originally the Trump campaign was going to run on the economy with a healthy side of racism/xenophobia. The “side dish” of racism/xenophobia will remain and in fact be more prominently featured but the economy part has to be shelved. That’s what happens when you are the incumbent during a depression largely of your making.
As always, I suggest when evaluating anything Donald Trump you remember his operations are largely an organized criminal enterprise whose main goal is his and his small inner circle’s personal enrichment. With the exception for some senior campaign people who are already in the spotlight, skimming from media advertising is difficult. Trump loves the travel and rallies where he has gotten the taxpayers to foot the bill or turned campaign donations into personal profits (often along with the taxpayers’ money). Remember for decades Trump has operated almost exclusively on OP money (Other People’s).
For the progressives cheering the chaos in the 2020 Trump campaign I suggest caution. Trump’s 2016 campaign was a disorganized disaster, among other things going through three “managers” (Trump used titles creatively), yet it still won. This is a one and done contest (more accurately collection of 57 contests) the score and how you look getting there really doesn’t matter; winning is the only thing that matters.
Because of the coronavirus pandemic it appears that mail in voting will be larger than ever. Just for the record the difference between mail in voting and absentee voting is about as large as the difference between Obamacare and the Affordable Care Act (ACA). Hint: they are the same. Of obvious necessity states will begin mailing out mail in ballots soon. Among the first are the battleground states of Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Voters concerned about their votes counting will be returning them well before November 3rd. Effectively the election starts in September. One of Trump’s efforts was to put a donor of his in charge of the USPS and policy changes have already slowed down the service. (Expect more articles on this topic in the near future.)
Thursday Trump issued one of his shiny object tweets – interestingly it was about the same time that some of the devastating economic news hit – here it is: “With Universal Mail-In Voting (not Absentee Voting, which is good), 2020 will be the most INACCURATE & FRAUDULENT Election in history. It will be a great embarrassment to the USA. Delay the Election until people can properly, securely and safely vote???” As a distraction it worked. It was greeted about as well as flatulence in church. The reality is that it won’t happen; even Mitch McConnell is against delaying the election.
If you listened to Bill Barr on Tuesday he did make one major revelation when questioned by Jim Jordan (makes you wonder if it wasn’t an “accident on purpose”) when he revealed another investigation into unmasking specifically. Normally we talk of October surprises in American politics. With the coronavirus inspired acceleration of the election calendar I expect multiple surprises starting in September. Many votes will effectively be cast well ahead of November. We know of at least two investigations Attorney General/ Consigliere/Minister of Propaganda Barr has going. If you remember his “book report” on the Mueller Report it really doesn’t matter what they find, Barr will spin it lying if necessary. Who says an Attorney General should have even average reading comprehension?
Barr and Trump also laid the foundation for challenging the results of the Election. If it is anything but a Biden blowout expect problems that will make 2000 look like a kumbaya session.
If you noticed since the federal paramilitary has been pulled from Portland the demonstrations are no longer violent. Still Portland, along with the Battle of Lafayette Park, served as a dry run for possible paramilitary action on Election Day. Don’t be surprised to see “protective forces” in strategically selected Democratic leaning precincts on Election Day.
Trump has nothing positive to run on that will appeal to the masses. His “achievements” have advanced the causes of racists, xenophobes, a few fringe right wing extremists and those whose greed far exceeds their (in some cases non-existent) patriotism. That is his base and it is simply not large enough to win 270 electoral votes. His strategy going forward will be to tear down Joe Biden with lies because the truth is insufficient to accomplish his goal.
Biden will be a major player in the unmasking of American citizens. The fact that they were conspiring with Russian agents and officials will be deemed irrelevant. Biden and his son Hunter, (the last time I checked Joe, not Hunter, was running for president), will have been on the take from the Ukrainian government and its major corporations. Who knows what else Trump’s minions will come up with? Remember Trump was the original poster boy for the birther movement and had Ted Cruz’s father killing JFK. (Oh by the way ladies, remember that Heidi Cruz and Carly Fiorina are ugly according to Trump.)
With less than 100 days to Election Day the phrase: “We ain’t seen nothing yet” may be a grammatical disaster but it is probably an accurate omen.
I want to end on a positive note today and wish a happy birthday to America’s last great president Barack Obama and my wife. My last boss and my first and only wife; not a bad combination! I guess August 4th is a special day.
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Happy Birthday to Cathleen…and to my late sister too. And good luck to us all.