On Monday night I watched Rachel Maddow interview former Republican Representative Liz Cheney. On Tuesday morning I awoke to email teasers on my phone about Cheney toying with the idea of running for president in 2024. It’s not what I had planned to write about for today’s publishing but it’s Tuesday afternoon and I can’t get this out of my mind.
Cheney is trying to sell a book. Although I have neither bought it nor do I plan to, I’m betting she will be very successful in selling a lot of copies. Not that long ago she was as close as we had to Republican royalty. She gave that all up when she challenged Donald Trump. It ended up costing her, her seat and unless the GOP recuses itself, her political future. I disagree with her on almost every political position she holds, often vehemently so. However, I believe that she made what will most likely be a huge personal sacrifice because she holds the basic American republic more important than her personal political future and that I admire. I, like her, believe that a second Trump term would be a disaster and most likely the end of America as we know it.
I think that, not unlike New Hampshire Republican Governor Chris Sununu (who I also disagree with on almost all political points), Cheney will not run because her candidacy would only help Trump win. For the moment the talk of it will help sell books which is her current focus.
Trump is running away with the GOP nomination contest at this point. We have already entered the phase where wannabes are dropping out. If Cheney were to jump into the race, she would never crack double digits as long as Trump is around. You tell me what upcoming primary you think she could win. In 2022 she lost her House seat in ruby red Wyoming by over 35 percentage points running with the most famous surname in Wyoming Republican history.
Her only choice would be to run as a third-party candidate. Without getting into the weeds, the logistical issues of getting on enough ballots unless you are the nominee of an already qualified minor party are close to insurmountable. There is absolutely no chance that she could win as a third-party candidate in 2024.
If she were on the ballot in several battleground states she could possibly make a difference by giving voters who refuse to vote for Trump but dislike Joe Biden a “home”. Say what you will about Liz , she is not a political idiot or neophyte. She knows exactly what her effect would be and I believe her number one objective in 2024 is the defeat of Donald Trump.
If the Republican party saves itself in the not that distant future – and a good old fashioned butt kicking in 2024 just might be the last straw – I have to like her future. As to the next few months, I think she will sell a ton of books and then campaign for non-election deniers of both parties.
I’m not sure we have seen the last of Liz Cheney in Washington but she won’t be holding office there in 2025. Love her or hate her, she is a patriot. I’d say, for the most part, a misguided one; but a patriot nonetheless.
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