It’s Kevin. Not So Quick.

This article was written well ahead of scheduled publishing in order to accommodate my travel plans.

Today is Election Day 2021. It is an off year election, (unless you are a candidate), and I’d like to look one year ahead to Election Day 2022 when the mid-term will determine control of the next Congress. Especially the House (with gerrymandering) and the Senate will be in play. No early predictions from me a year out. For the best forecasts on the House I suggest following the Cook Political Report.
The predominant thinking is that if the Republicans take the House it will be because of the influence of Donald Trump and that Kevin McCarthy will be the next Speaker. I’m among the minority (at this point) that says not so quick.

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